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		<title>What&#8217;s Wrong with a Hunger Strike?</title>
		<link>http://inthearmchair.wordpress.com/2011/04/10/whats-wrong-with-a-hunger-strike/</link>
		<comments>http://inthearmchair.wordpress.com/2011/04/10/whats-wrong-with-a-hunger-strike/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 10 Apr 2011 04:44:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Armchair Guy</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[India]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Anna Hazare scored a victory of sorts against corruption recently; people have been calling his methods Gandhian &#8212; probably because he used Gandhi&#8217;s favourite instrument, a fast unto death.  Many important events were triggered by this trick, including the linguistic reorganization of the states in the 1950s. There appears to have been a great deal [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=inthearmchair.wordpress.com&amp;blog=5564947&amp;post=1205&amp;subd=inthearmchair&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Anna Hazare scored a victory of sorts against corruption recently; people have been calling his methods Gandhian &#8212; probably because he used Gandhi&#8217;s favourite instrument, a fast unto death.  Many important events were triggered by this trick, including the linguistic reorganization of the states in the 1950s.</p>
<p>There appears to have been a great deal of popular support for Hazare&#8217;s initiative.  However, there are some who question the idea of using a hunger strike to achieve ends.  For example, <a href="http://www.deeshaa.org/2011/04/08/anna-hazare-goes-to-new-delhi/">this blog</a> says:</p>
<blockquote><p>Of all the hypocritical actions that Gandhi indulged in publicly, fasting to death is most definitely the most remarkable. &#8230; Hazare’s fasting to death and the public support that he has enlisted shows how immature India is as a nation.</p></blockquote>
<p>I think these comments miss the point entirely.  Anna Hazare merely provided a focal point to people who have already had corruption on their minds for several months now.  A hunger strike is sometimes a form of blackmail, but when it reflects popular sentiment it is more properly seen as merely an expression of a threat to the government that already exists in the minds of the people.  The point of a hunger strike is not simply to blackmail the government.  Others have tried this and failed, for example some of those pressing for Telengana, who were neatly castled by having their demands agreed to simply for the purpose of bringing their fast to an end.  (This might even happen with Hazare, who has shrewdly promised to renew the agitation if the Lokpal bill isn&#8217;t passed within a reasonable time frame.)</p>
<p>The point of a hunger strike, I think, is to raise an extreme and very visible protest.  Such a protest could be violent and uncultured (witness the damage to public property and rioting done in Hyderabad by supporters of a separate Telengana state), or take a more serene form, like a hunger strike.  By supporting the hunger strike, even to extent of joining in, I believe the nation has shown great maturity.  We didn&#8217;t go about smashing public property &#8212; but we made sure the government sat up and took notice.</p>
<p>The effectiveness of Hazare&#8217;s action (and Mahatma Gandhi&#8217;s innovation) is twofold.  First, that it effectively focuses a widespread public sentiment into a single spearhead that can be used to goad the government, much as a magnifying glass can focus the sun&#8217;s rays and ignite things.  And second, handled properly, it is a spearhead without undesirable side-effects like riots and destruction of public property.</p>
<p>Of course, as many other bloggers pointed out (and I&#8217;m not including all links here) the agitation as well as the bill are only minor battles in the war against corruption.  We&#8217;re all corrupt, a sea of corruption, and these are just a few drops of purity.  Corruption will start to die when, for example, we not only refuse to pay bribes, but refuse to evade paying income tax as well.  (Something I believe 99% of even the most self-righteous 1% of the population do.)  That&#8217;s an important but completely different issue.</p>
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		<title>Math in R plots</title>
		<link>http://inthearmchair.wordpress.com/2011/04/05/math-in-r-plots/</link>
		<comments>http://inthearmchair.wordpress.com/2011/04/05/math-in-r-plots/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 05 Apr 2011 14:27:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Armchair Guy</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Computers]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[R provides a way (see ?mathplot) to insert math into titles and labels in plots.  An example: plot(1, main=expression(S[A])).  This will create an S with a subscript A () in the title of the plot. But what if you have a variable called x, and you want and the value of x in the title?  [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=inthearmchair.wordpress.com&amp;blog=5564947&amp;post=1198&amp;subd=inthearmchair&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://www.r-project.org/">R</a> provides a way (see <strong>?mathplot</strong>) to insert math into titles and labels in plots.  An example: <strong>plot(1, main=expression(S[A]))</strong>.  This will create an S with a subscript A (<img src='http://s0.wp.com/latex.php?latex=S_A&amp;bg=fff&amp;fg=222&amp;s=0' alt='S_A' title='S_A' class='latex' />) in the title of the plot.</p>
<p>But what if you have a variable called <strong>x</strong>, and you want <img src='http://s0.wp.com/latex.php?latex=S_A&amp;bg=fff&amp;fg=222&amp;s=0' alt='S_A' title='S_A' class='latex' /> and the value of <strong>x</strong> in the title?  For example, if the value of <strong>x</strong> is 3, you want <img src='http://s0.wp.com/latex.php?latex=S_A+%3D+3&amp;bg=fff&amp;fg=222&amp;s=0' alt='S_A = 3' title='S_A = 3' class='latex' /> to appear.</p>
<p>I&#8217;m sure there&#8217;s a simpler solution, but here&#8217;s the simplest one I&#8217;ve got:</p>
<ol>
<li>First, note that it would suffice to type in <strong>plot(1, main = expression(paste(S[A], &#8221; = &#8220;, 3)))</strong>.  Of course, we want the value of <strong>x</strong> there, no matter what it is &#8212; not just 3.  If we try <strong>plot(1, main = expression(paste(S[A], &#8221; = &#8220;, x)))</strong>, that will result in <img src='http://s0.wp.com/latex.php?latex=S_A+%3D+x&amp;bg=fff&amp;fg=222&amp;s=0' alt='S_A = x' title='S_A = x' class='latex' /> appearing in the title, not what we want.</li>
<li>The solution is to create the string we would have typed if we knew the value of <strong>x</strong>.  We do this like this: <strong>s &lt;- paste(&#8220;plot(1, main = expression(paste(S[A], \&#8221; = \&#8221;, &#8220;, x, &#8220;)))&#8221;).</strong> If we now print the string <strong>s</strong>, it will show <strong>&#8220;plot(1, main = expression(paste(S[A], \&#8221; = \&#8221;,  3 )))&#8221;</strong> (if the value of <strong>x</strong> is 3).</li>
<li>Now, we &#8220;run the string&#8221;: <strong>eval(parse(text = s))</strong>.</li>
</ol>
<p>There are some more complicated but flexible solutions, like integrating postscript output from latex into R graphs (using <a href="http://biostat.mc.vanderbilt.edu/wiki/Main/PsFrag">psfrag</a>).</p>
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		<title>সূর্যোদয়?</title>
		<link>http://inthearmchair.wordpress.com/2011/03/21/%e0%a6%b8%e0%a7%82%e0%a6%b0%e0%a7%8d%e0%a6%af%e0%a7%8b%e0%a6%a6%e0%a7%9f/</link>
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		<pubDate>Mon, 21 Mar 2011 02:29:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Armchair Guy</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[India]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Are the three decades of darkness Jyoti Basu and his CPI(M) ushered in about to end?  Is there finally going to be a sunrise in West Bengal?  Mamata appears to be building a team of competent administrators.  Or at least, she wants to appear as if she is.  See http://ibnlive.in.com/news/mamata-rides-on-star-power-this-poll-season/146592-37-64.html . Filed under: India<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=inthearmchair.wordpress.com&amp;blog=5564947&amp;post=1180&amp;subd=inthearmchair&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Are the three decades of darkness Jyoti Basu and his CPI(M) ushered in about to end?  Is there finally going to be a sunrise in West Bengal?  Mamata appears to be building a team of competent administrators.  Or at least, she wants to appear as if she is.  See <a href="http://ibnlive.in.com/news/mamata-rides-on-star-power-this-poll-season/146592-37-64.html">http://ibnlive.in.com/news/mamata-rides-on-star-power-this-poll-season/146592-37-64.html</a> .</p>
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		<title>The $3 Billion New Delhi Airport Terminal</title>
		<link>http://inthearmchair.wordpress.com/2011/03/17/the-3-billion-new-delhi-airport-terminal/</link>
		<comments>http://inthearmchair.wordpress.com/2011/03/17/the-3-billion-new-delhi-airport-terminal/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 17 Mar 2011 09:36:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Armchair Guy</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[India]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[A while ago, I wondered whether New Delhi really needed to spend $3 billion to build a new terminal.  I was in New Delhi a few days ago, so got a chance to see first hand what all the fuss was about. The good: The new terminal is large, shiny and new.  It features a [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=inthearmchair.wordpress.com&amp;blog=5564947&amp;post=1170&amp;subd=inthearmchair&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p style="text-align:center;"><a href="http://inthearmchair.files.wordpress.com/2011/03/dsc_0165.jpg"><a href="http://inthearmchair.files.wordpress.com/2011/03/dsc_01651.jpg"><img class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-1174" title="DSC_0165" src="http://inthearmchair.files.wordpress.com/2011/03/dsc_01651.jpg?w=717&#038;h=476" alt="" width="717" height="476" /></a><br />
</a></p>
<p>A while ago, I wondered whether New Delhi really needed to spend $3 billion to build a new terminal.  I was in New Delhi a few days ago, so got a chance to see first hand what all the fuss was about.</p>
<p>The good: The new terminal is large, shiny and new.  It features a lot of fairly attractive decor.  Most international airlines have been relocated into the new terminal, as well as several domestic ones, such as Air India and Jet.  This is great because in the past it was always a pain to switch between the international and domestic terminals, especially if you were encumbered with a lot of luggage.  There&#8217;s a food court just outside the check-in area that stays open 24 hours.  It&#8217;s clean.  It&#8217;s got a lot of shops.</p>
<p>The bad: The first bad thing that struck me is the carpet (ha! but yes, that&#8217;s what struck me first).  I don&#8217;t think it&#8217;s generally a good idea to carpet an entire airport, because it will lead to high maintenance costs.  They also chose a chaotic orange, red and brown print that I think is atrociously ugly.  More importantly, I got the impression that they built way too big and didn&#8217;t know what to do with all the space.  In departure areas, you walk long distances through corridors and walkways that house absolutely nothing.  You&#8217;re not walking past departure gates or anything, just featureless spread out corridors that are so long they needed to add a lot of expensive moving walkways.  Possibly they might add gates to those corridors at some point, but that would involve ugly construction that everyone would have to walk through.</p>
<p>All in all, I have the feeling that the terminal is fairly nice, but it&#8217;s too large and it&#8217;s going to cost us a lot to maintain it.  I don&#8217;t have any idea how much it costs to build airports, but $3 billion seems a high for a single terminal, even a big one with a lot of ugly carpet.</p>
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		<title>Maha Sivaratri</title>
		<link>http://inthearmchair.wordpress.com/2011/03/06/maha-sivaratri/</link>
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		<pubDate>Sun, 06 Mar 2011 00:27:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Armchair Guy</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[India]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://inthearmchair.wordpress.com/?p=1161</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[A group of girls bathing at dawn in the Bay of Bengal off Vizag after a night of fasting for Maha Sivaratri.  There&#8217;s quite a large turnout, with thousands of people (families, groups of youngsters, and the elderly) enjoying a dawn dip, some spirituality, and a bit of fun.  Dawn, March 03, 2011, Vizag. Filed [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=inthearmchair.wordpress.com&amp;blog=5564947&amp;post=1161&amp;subd=inthearmchair&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
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<p style="text-align:center;">A group of girls bathing at dawn in the Bay of Bengal off Vizag after a night of fasting for Maha Sivaratri.  There&#8217;s quite a large turnout, with thousands of people (families, groups of youngsters, and the elderly) enjoying a dawn dip, some spirituality, and a bit of fun.  Dawn, March 03, 2011, Vizag.</p>
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		<title>More Sycophancy in the Congress</title>
		<link>http://inthearmchair.wordpress.com/2011/02/21/more-sycophancy-in-the-congress/</link>
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		<pubDate>Mon, 21 Feb 2011 12:37:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Armchair Guy</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[India]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://inthearmchair.wordpress.com/?p=1159</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[This is of course a pet peeve of mine, but it&#8217;s a peeve that is reinforced and confirmed with frightening regularity while the Indian press plays ostrich (or does it ignore the elephant in the room &#8212; pick your favourite metaphor). Under fire from Baba Ramdev&#8217;s supporters, and questioned by his own party, Congress MP [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=inthearmchair.wordpress.com&amp;blog=5564947&amp;post=1159&amp;subd=inthearmchair&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>This is of course a pet peeve of mine, but it&#8217;s a peeve that is reinforced and confirmed with frightening regularity while the Indian press plays ostrich (or does it ignore the elephant in the room &#8212; pick your favourite metaphor).</p>
<p>Under fire from Baba Ramdev&#8217;s supporters, and questioned by his own party, Congress MP from Arunachal Pradesh Ninong Ering began blabbering about his loyalty to the Family.  After getting into trouble for making apparently anti-Indian comments, Ering began talking about how it was all because of his love for Rajiv Gandhi.  <a href="http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/Cong-MP-abuses-Baba-Ramdev-party-seeks-explanation/articleshow/7529289.cms">See here.</a> That is the best hope for a Congressman nowadays: when in trouble, express love and devotion for the Family.  It might save you.</p>
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		<title>Watson and the Singularity &#8211; IV</title>
		<link>http://inthearmchair.wordpress.com/2011/02/17/watson-and-the-singularity-iv/</link>
		<comments>http://inthearmchair.wordpress.com/2011/02/17/watson-and-the-singularity-iv/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 17 Feb 2011 13:48:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Armchair Guy</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Computers]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://inthearmchair.wordpress.com/?p=1156</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[On the last day, Watson was not nearly as dominant as on the second day, but won a big packet on the Final Jeopardy question to take its total winnings to much higher levels than either of its contestants.  For a large part of the third day, Ken Jennings was in the lead. Watson uses [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=inthearmchair.wordpress.com&amp;blog=5564947&amp;post=1156&amp;subd=inthearmchair&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>On the last day, Watson was not nearly as dominant as on the second day, but won a big packet on the Final Jeopardy question to take its total winnings to much higher levels than either of its contestants.  For a large part of the third day, Ken Jennings was in the lead.</p>
<p>Watson uses the correctness of previous answers to try to understand what a category means.  For example, in a &#8220;Name the Decade&#8221; category, Watson wasn&#8217;t sure what the category name meant &#8212; so it didn&#8217;t know that it could restrict its answers to the set {1900, 1910, 1920, &#8230;, 1990, 2000}.  When it is unsure in such a manner, Watson uses previous correct answers in that category &#8212; possibly by its competitors &#8212; to narrow down what the category means.  It was clear on the third day that Watson didn&#8217;t understand what certain categories meant, even after observing opponents&#8217; correct responses.  This meant it did poorly on those categories as a whole.</p>
<p>Watson&#8217;s natural language processing, I think, is tailored to the task at hand &#8212; winning Jeopardy.  Like I said before, it doesn&#8217;t understand sentences the same way a human would.  While watching the show, I found that many of the answers were found in the intersections of two or more sets, but Watson didn&#8217;t identify all of the sets.</p>
<p>I would classify Watson as a mild sub-Singularity event at this point.  If indeed programs like Watson proliferate the way chess programs have &#8212; if Watson clones become much more powerful and lightweight enough to run on the computer as personal assistants, perhaps with some help from the cloud &#8212; we will be on our way to real artificial intelligence.  Sequential improvements in such programs will eventually lead to super-human intelligence, much as the Singularity gurus predicted.  Eventually, APIs for NLP and this type of reasoning might become commoditized &#8212; unless companies like Google prefer to provide access APIs only, and keep all the computation hidden on their servers.</p>
<p>The question that immediately popped into my head when I heard about this Jeopardy challenge for the first time was &#8220;why not Google?&#8221;.  IBM has a fantastic record of innovation, of course, but the things Watson does are right up Google&#8217;s alley.  Search would be greatly improved if you could ask a question and have it answered in addition to being served a bunch of related pages.  Personally I believe Google has already developed a system like Watson.  So why don&#8217;t we know about it?  Two possibilities.</p>
<p>First, Watson needed 2800 processors to answer questions one at a time.  The technology that Google has may or may not be equally advanced, but perhaps doesn&#8217;t scale up to allow answers for millions of questions yet.</p>
<p>Second, this is a card in Google&#8217;s hand that it doesn&#8217;t want to show unless necessary.  If a competitor (mostly Bing at this stage) appears to be making significant inroads into its search space, it can add this feature to jump ahead, so it&#8217;s insurance.  Revealing everything would just provide Microsoft with a &#8220;copy this!&#8221; blueprint.</p>
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		<title>Watson and the Singularity &#8211; III</title>
		<link>http://inthearmchair.wordpress.com/2011/02/16/watson-and-the-singularity-iii/</link>
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		<pubDate>Wed, 16 Feb 2011 02:07:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Armchair Guy</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Computers]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://inthearmchair.wordpress.com/?p=1153</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[On day 2, Watson comprehensively outscored his human opponents. To some extent, it seems Watson is at an advantage because his pneumatic button-pressing system can react faster than any human possibly could.  This severely affected Ken Jennings, who obviously had some of the answers and showed frustration at never being able to get to the [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=inthearmchair.wordpress.com&amp;blog=5564947&amp;post=1153&amp;subd=inthearmchair&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>On day 2, Watson comprehensively outscored his human opponents.</p>
<p>To some extent, it seems Watson is at an advantage because his pneumatic button-pressing system can react faster than any human possibly could.  This severely affected Ken Jennings, who obviously had some of the answers and showed frustration at never being able to get to the buzzer first, shaking his head on occasion.</p>
<p>Perhaps a more fair way to assess Watson&#8217;s intelligence (as opposed to his button pushing prowess) is to adjust Watson&#8217;s button presser to be more commensurate with the pressing rate of human nerve systems.</p>
<p>Although Watson is doing great, it is becoming more apparent that Watson doesn&#8217;t understand the nuances of language in the clues as well as a human could.  There&#8217;s a document <a href="http://www.stanford.edu/class/cs124/AIMagzine-DeepQA.pdf">here</a> (PDF) detailing some of Watson&#8217;s programming.</p>
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		<title>Watson and the Singularity &#8211; II</title>
		<link>http://inthearmchair.wordpress.com/2011/02/15/watson-and-the-singularity-ii/</link>
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		<pubDate>Tue, 15 Feb 2011 12:03:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Armchair Guy</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Computers]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://inthearmchair.wordpress.com/?p=1148</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[So, I watched the first part (of three) of the IBM Watson Jeopardy challenge.  So far, Brad Rutter and Watson are tied at first place, with Ken Jennings somewhat behind.  I was interested in getting a sense for how Watson &#8220;thinks&#8221;.  One of the things I tried to do was get a sense of the [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=inthearmchair.wordpress.com&amp;blog=5564947&amp;post=1148&amp;subd=inthearmchair&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>So, I watched the first part (of three) of the IBM Watson Jeopardy challenge.  So far, Brad Rutter and Watson are tied at first place, with Ken Jennings somewhat behind.  I was interested in getting a sense for how Watson &#8220;thinks&#8221;.  One of the things I tried to do was get a sense of the extent to which Watson is &#8220;understanding&#8221; human language.  At this point the answer seems to be &#8220;not very well&#8221;.</p>
<p>Of course, it&#8217;s hard to glean much just watching a TV show, but it <em>seems</em> as if Watson isn&#8217;t quite understanding language the way we do.  If a clue indicates the answer is a member of two sets, for example, Watson sometimes seems to ignore the second set.  An example (paraphrased): This word can mean the bend in the elbow and also a thief.  Watson&#8217;s best guess was &#8220;knee&#8221;, which has nothing to do with the second set (words that can mean &#8220;thief&#8221;) though it does have something to do with the first set (words that can mean the bend in the elbow).  The right answer was &#8220;crook&#8221;.</p>
<p>Watson seems to do superlatively well when there are unique phrases to be matched, i.e. when the clue contains phrases that are pertinent only to the answer and wouldn&#8217;t occur anywhere else.  Perhaps this is not surprising at all.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s possible Watson&#8217;s thought processes are a bunch of shortcuts completely unlike ours.  It may for example simply be finding a bunch of words and phrases based on associations with keyphrases in the clue and then ranking them.  Rather than searching for words/phrases in the sets that the clue is <em>asking</em> for.</p>
<p>Perhaps the right test is this: is it easy to add a subroutine to Watson that would allow it to rephrase the clue in several simpler English sentences?  I don&#8217;t know.  So I&#8217;m still unsure whether to call the creation of Watson a Singularity defining moment.</p>
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		<title>Egypt&#8217;s Revolution and India</title>
		<link>http://inthearmchair.wordpress.com/2011/02/12/egypts-revolution-and-india/</link>
		<comments>http://inthearmchair.wordpress.com/2011/02/12/egypts-revolution-and-india/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 12 Feb 2011 13:03:26 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Armchair Guy</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[India]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://inthearmchair.wordpress.com/?p=1145</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I saw two blog articles today with ideas that surprised me. The first is pointed out here: Pentagram’s Vishal Dadlani exultantly tweeted that the band had a rocking concert in Guwahati and Egypt became “free” on the same night! Then he wrote, “All it took was 18 days, and that the Egyptian people stood up [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=inthearmchair.wordpress.com&amp;blog=5564947&amp;post=1145&amp;subd=inthearmchair&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I saw two blog articles today with ideas that surprised me.</p>
<p>The first is pointed out <a href="http://anonandon.wordpress.com/2011/02/12/vive-la-revolution/">here</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>Pentagram’s Vishal Dadlani exultantly <a href="http://twitter.com/V1sh4l" target="_blank">tweeted</a> that the band had a rocking concert in Guwahati and Egypt became “free” <em>on the same night!</em> Then he wrote, “All it took was 18 days, and that the Egyptian people  stood up for their rights. Come on India, you can do it!!”</p></blockquote>
<p>The second one is <a href="http://lawandotherthings.blogspot.com/2011/02/new-era-begins-in-egypt.html">here</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>Even as Indian observers debate the question of why and how Egyptian  revolution cannot be replicated in India, the unique characteristics of  Egyptian revolution will be of interest to the readers here.</p></blockquote>
<p>Of course we Indians are interested in what happens in Egypt, some in a general world-news way, some more intellectually.  But these two people (i.e. Vishal Dadlani and V. Venkatesan) are talking about the feasibility of replicating Egypt&#8217;s revolution in India.</p>
<p>Wait, what??</p>
<p>How did that idea even enter the mindspace of the Indian public?</p>
<p>Presumably because India has a lot of problems.  A revolution might be an improvement in a country (like Egypt) that has been dictator-controlled for 30 years.  But in a naturally feudal country with an active democracy (like India) that is seeing steady improvements, a revolution is like a roll of a pair of dice &#8212; with things getting better if both dice show 6.  Most likely an Indian revolution will lead to a messy neo-feudal society with various warring factions tearing the country apart.</p>
<p>Are these commentators insane?  They have a personal desire for a little excitement, and their way of getting their fix is to encourage revolutions in democracies.</p>
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		<title>Nokia and Microsoft?!</title>
		<link>http://inthearmchair.wordpress.com/2011/02/11/nokia-and-microsoft/</link>
		<comments>http://inthearmchair.wordpress.com/2011/02/11/nokia-and-microsoft/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 11 Feb 2011 12:05:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Armchair Guy</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Computers]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://inthearmchair.wordpress.com/?p=1142</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Nokia, one of Open Source&#8217;s biggest advocates and sources of strength, has practically merged with Microsoft, Open Source&#8217;s biggest enemy and saboteur.  The agreement goes beyond simple cooperation.  Nokia is killing Meego, an important open source initiative. This has been on the horizon for quite a while, ever since Nokia hired long-time Microsoft insider Elop [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=inthearmchair.wordpress.com&amp;blog=5564947&amp;post=1142&amp;subd=inthearmchair&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Nokia, one of Open Source&#8217;s biggest advocates and sources of strength, <a href="http://news.cnet.com/8301-30685_3-20031468-264.html">has practically merged with Microsoft</a>, Open Source&#8217;s biggest enemy and saboteur.  The agreement goes beyond simple cooperation.  Nokia is killing Meego, an important open source initiative.</p>
<p>This has been on the horizon for quite a while, ever since Nokia hired long-time Microsoft insider Elop as its CEO, and intensifying with a leaked internal memo Elop supposedly sent to Nokia employees.</p>
<p>This probably will help Nokia in the long run, but it fundamentally changes the company&#8217;s character.  This is a sellout by a biased CEO.  I was with Nokia so far, but I&#8217;m switching to Android as soon as I can.</p>
<p>EDIT:</p>
<p>I had a conversation yesterday that got me thinking, and the more I think about it, the more it seems to me that Elop was a Microsoft implant into Nokia, sent in for this very purpose.  Elop apparently made some noises about why he picked Windows over Android, but I doubt he ever considered Android.  The deal is hugely helpful for Microsoft, which was struggling to get anyone to show interest in Windows. It also seems vaguely helpful for Nokia, but it&#8217;s simply not commensurate.  Microsoft gets Navtec maps, various services, a ready-made phone distribution net, and a huge share of phone profits from Nokia at absolutely no cost to itself!  Nokia gives all this potentially revenue-generating stuff to Microsoft for free!  All Microsoft is doing is providing the already-developed Windows OS &#8212; and even that for a share of the profits!</p>
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		<title>Watson and the Singularity</title>
		<link>http://inthearmchair.wordpress.com/2011/02/09/watson-and-the-singularity/</link>
		<comments>http://inthearmchair.wordpress.com/2011/02/09/watson-and-the-singularity/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 09 Feb 2011 18:19:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Armchair Guy</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Computers]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://inthearmchair.wordpress.com/?p=1137</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Singularity is a recurring theme in artificial intelligence and in science fiction. It refers to an event where a computer achieves certain significant feats of intelligence.  Different authors use it slightly differently, or use different terms.  Sometimes the word means achieving &#8220;self-awareness&#8221; (whatever that is).  Sometimes it means the creation of a computer that [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=inthearmchair.wordpress.com&amp;blog=5564947&amp;post=1137&amp;subd=inthearmchair&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The Singularity is a recurring theme in artificial intelligence and in science fiction.</p>
<p>It refers to an event where a computer achieves certain significant feats of intelligence.  Different authors use it slightly differently, or use different terms.  Sometimes the word means achieving &#8220;self-awareness&#8221; (whatever that is).  Sometimes it means the creation of a computer that is as smart as a human.  Sometimes it means the addition of a technology that results in a massive increase in ability (the new state is usually one of higher-than-human intelligence).  Some authors speak of multiple singularities &#8212; computers caught in an ever-rising spiral of super-intelligence.</p>
<p>The AI promises of the 1980s turned out to be too grand and ill-founded to be realistic.  People thought then that they could program <em></em>intelligence by programming the minutiae of thought.  This turned out to be a vastly bigger task than anticipated.</p>
<p>For a while, it seemed there were things humans could do that  computers would never be able to.  One of the biggest, and most visible,  blows was Deep Blue&#8217;s defeat of Garry Kasparov.  Today, software (Rybka, Glaurung, Stockfish) running on the ordinary desktop computer will easily defeat the best human chess players.  But Deep Blue and its younger cousins don&#8217;t really have intelligence, at least not what we usually mean by it.  They&#8217;re &#8220;on-rails&#8221;, and can do very restricted things on very restricted input sets.</p>
<p>But all this doesn&#8217;t mean man-made intelligence is impossible.  Instead of programming intelligence, we can perhaps include techniques like <em>evolving</em> it or <em>learning</em> it.  Is that what <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2010/06/20/magazine/20Computer-t.html">Watson</a> has done?</p>
<p>Watson is a massively parallel supercomputer, developed by IBM, that will participate on Jeopardy against Ken Jennings and Brad Rutter.  Watson can understand a variety of language nuances and sift through its massive database to attempt to find answers.  Given the diversity of subject matter as well as question phrasing on Jeopardy, this is quite a feat.  Does this qualify as intelligence?</p>
<p>It&#8217;s not clear to me how Watson works, but the bits I&#8217;ve gleaned indicate that it is a collection of a number of hand-written subroutines that interact in carefully human-tuned ways.  There&#8217;s no automated evolution or search of algorithms to try to make it better.  In that sense, it is still algorithmic, much like Deep Blue.  But Watson&#8217;s algorithm is much more complicated and chaotic than Deep Blue&#8217;s.  It sounds complex enough that I view it as a limited form of intelligence.</p>
<p>Perhaps we are hitting the first technological singularity, although it&#8217;s not the single explosive moment some have imagined.</p>
<p>Watson might have been a good learning experience &#8212; the engineers at IBM must have figured out a lot about how to make computers think.  But it still lacks the essential ingredient that sci-fi authors fantasize about.  We still don&#8217;t have <em>automated</em> techniques to take a given computer and make it better.  That is, we don&#8217;t know how to make computers improve other computers.  That would be the a real Singularity.</p>
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		<title>Manmohan Singh and &#8220;Political Mileage&#8221;</title>
		<link>http://inthearmchair.wordpress.com/2011/02/07/manmohan-singh-and-political-mileage/</link>
		<comments>http://inthearmchair.wordpress.com/2011/02/07/manmohan-singh-and-political-mileage/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 07 Feb 2011 05:08:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Armchair Guy</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[India]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://inthearmchair.wordpress.com/?p=1134</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The position of the Prime Minister of India is practically a sinecure nowadays.  The PM doesn&#8217;t make any decisions, formulate policy, know what his own cabinet is up to, or do anything worthwhile at all.  Instead, like the President, the PM&#8217;s job nowadays is to sign paperwork and meet and greet various foreign dignitaries.  All [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=inthearmchair.wordpress.com&amp;blog=5564947&amp;post=1134&amp;subd=inthearmchair&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The position of the Prime Minister of India is practically a sinecure nowadays.  The PM doesn&#8217;t make any decisions, formulate policy, know what his own cabinet is up to, or do anything worthwhile at all.  Instead, like the President, the PM&#8217;s job nowadays is to sign paperwork and meet and greet various foreign dignitaries.  All the real decisions are made by Sonia Gandhi, of course.</p>
<p>I forgot to mention one thing the PM <em>does</em> have to do.  Whenever the opposition brings up an instance of corruption or ineptitude on the part of the government, Dr. Singh makes a public comment.  He says, &#8220;The opposition is playing politics with this issue.&#8221;  Corruption at the Commonwealth Games?  That&#8217;s just the Opposition Playing Politics (OPP).  The 3G spectrum scam?  OPP again.  Black money stashed in Switzerland?  OPP.  That&#8217;s his explanation for everything.</p>
<p>(Like Paris Hilton tried to trademark &#8220;That&#8217;s Hot&#8221;, and Trump tried to trademark &#8220;You&#8217;re Fired!&#8221; (did he trademark it?), Manmohan should try to patent &#8220;OPP&#8221;!  He&#8217;d earn royalties from politicians in democracies everywhere.)</p>
<p>So I wonder what his reaction would be to <a href="http://ibnlive.in.com/news/rahul-dares-maya-to-visit-maimed-fatehpur-girl/142620-3.html">this bit of ridiculous political grandstanding</a> by Rahul Gandhi.  To summarize, Rahul Gandhi used a rape victim to make a surreal attempt at scoring a political point.  He dared Mayawati to visit the victim.  Presumably he believes Mayawati is personally responsible because the crime occurred in the state Mayawati is Chief Minister of.  Perhaps he also thought Mayawati was responsible because the victim was a Dalit, as is Mayawati.  (It doesn&#8217;t make any sense to me, but then this is Rahul Gandhi.)</p>
<p>Now where&#8217;s Manmohan with his comments about political mileage?</p>
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		<title>Hayek, Predictability, Justice and Affirmative Action</title>
		<link>http://inthearmchair.wordpress.com/2011/02/06/hayek-predictability-justice-and-affirmative-action/</link>
		<comments>http://inthearmchair.wordpress.com/2011/02/06/hayek-predictability-justice-and-affirmative-action/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 06 Feb 2011 14:26:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Armchair Guy</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Armchair Ruminations]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://inthearmchair.wordpress.com/?p=1107</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I had a rather exhausting discussion with Sanjeev Sabhlok in the comments of this post on whether reservations (or more generally affirmative action) contradicts basic principles of justice. Hayek The only good thing that came out of that discussion (from my viewpoint) is it prompted me to glance through some pages of Friedrich Hayek&#8217;s Law, [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=inthearmchair.wordpress.com&amp;blog=5564947&amp;post=1107&amp;subd=inthearmchair&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I had a rather exhausting discussion with Sanjeev Sabhlok in the comments of <a href="http://sabhlokcity.com/2011/01/the-nonsense-of-social-justice/">this post</a> on whether reservations (or more generally affirmative action) contradicts basic principles of justice.</p>
<p><strong>Hayek</strong></p>
<p>The only good thing that came out of that discussion (from my  viewpoint)  is it prompted me to glance through some pages of Friedrich  Hayek&#8217;s  Law, Legislation and Liberty.  Specifically, I looked at his  chapter on  Social Justice.  The entirety of my exposure to Hayek&#8217;s  ideas is that one chapter, so I&#8217;m quite happy to be corrected.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s not hard to see why Hayek is held in high esteem.  This small  chapter covers a wide variety of issues, many of which I think are  relevant to the issue of reservations and affirmative action.  I find  Hayek&#8217;s writing style hard to read, since his passages sound ambiguous  to me.  It&#8217;s probably true that he had a precise position on the issues,  but his book isn&#8217;t written that way and feels somewhat open to  interpretation.</p>
<p>I don&#8217;t claim to understand Hayek&#8217;s theories very well, but some  things jumped out at me.  Hayek says that we have the right to set  rules, but to expect that once the rules are set and the market is set  in motion, it is pointless to speak of the justice of the <em>outcomes</em> of the market (as long as everyone follows the rules).</p>
<p>This is an interesting idea, and curiously it parallels Krishna&#8217;s &#8220;<em>Karmanyeva adhikaraste&#8230;</em>&#8220;!   We have the right to decide the rules of action, but not to decide the  outcomes, which are subject to much randomness!  It is widely accepted  that attempts to make sure everyone has what they <em>need</em> is  socialism; indeed, that is often treated as the definition of  socialism.  Hayek says that attempts to make sure everyone gets exactly  what they <em>deserve</em> is still socialist.  He calls this social  justice (or rather, says this is what others mean by social justice).   But Hayek goes a step further in thinking about this, and makes two  apparently contradictory statements.</p>
<p><strong>Predictability</strong></p>
<p>First, Hayek seems to agree that laws should not be <em>predictably</em> biased towards or against a segment of the society.  This I think is  fascinating and in fact a crucial consideration while framing laws.  At  the time we frame a law, it should not be predictably unjust.</p>
<p>Elucidating what &#8220;predictable&#8221; means here is an interesting exercise  in itself.  My interpretation is the following.  A predictable set of  people is at time <em>t</em> is a set that is determined by events occurring up to time <em>t</em>,  and not after.  Thus &#8220;Dalits in 2010&#8243; is a predictable set in 2010, but  &#8220;millionaires in 2020&#8243; is not very predictable in 2010.  However,  &#8220;millionaires in 2010&#8243; is of course predictable in 2010. As with all  social things, a certain level of fuzziness in defining sets is probably  convenient.  The set &#8220;billionaires in 2015&#8243; is probably predictable  with 99% accuracy in 2010, although the set &#8220;millionaires in 2015&#8243; is  much less predictable.  Allowing for this slight fuzziness, &#8220;Dalits in  2050&#8243; is a predictable set in 2010. (People can and do &#8220;change their  caste&#8221;, often through birth certificate fraud, but so few do it that the  set is almost determined in 2010.)  Have I defined predictability  precisely?  Not mathematically.  But it seems precise enough for  society, law and justice.</p>
<p>When we pass a law that increases the relative advantage or  disadvantage of a predictable set of people to its complement, we are  doing something wrong.  Thus, if we pass a law in 2010 that will widen  the advantage gap between, say, the 40-th and 60-th wealth percentile of  the population in 2020, the principle of predictability does not  prohibit this (since these percentiles are not very predictable sets).   On the other hand, if we pass a law that will widen the advantage gap  between the blind and the not-blind in 2015 (a moderately predictable  set in 2010), there is something wrong with that law.  Similarly, if we  pass a law in 2010 that increases the advantage gap between Dalits and  non-Dalits in 2050 (a highly predictable set), there&#8217;s something wrong  with that law.  This is the gist of my application of Hayek&#8217;s  predictability criterion to the affirmative action case.</p>
<p>Of course, it&#8217;s not quite as simple as that.  It&#8217;s not enough to say  widening the gap is bad and narrowing it is good &#8212; we should also worry  about whether things are getting better for everybody.  If we pass a  law that predictably reduces <em>everyone</em> to abject poverty, this  might reduce the gap &#8212; but it&#8217;s not what we want.  On the other hand,  passing a law that predictably makes Dalits remain poor while increasing  most non-Dalits&#8217; wealth is also obviously wrong &#8212; even though it is  true that some people have gained, and no one has been harmed (relative  to where they started off).  Also, most outcomes will invariably be  biased if a short enough time-frame is chosen.  For example, it&#8217;s  certainly true that, no matter what anyone does, those who are poor on  Jan 1, 2010 will overwhelmingly remain poor on Jan 2, 2010 &#8212; or for  that matter on Jan 1, 2011.  Since ALL laws are biased, should we  refrain from passing <em>any</em> laws?  A reasonable time frame has to be attached to the term &#8220;bias&#8221;.</p>
<p>Thus, this is a very loose principle &#8212; laws will need to balance  fairness, considerations of where people start off, practicality,  enforceability, acceptability in society, timeframe and a number of  other factors.  Indeed, I think it&#8217;s not possible to state a succinct,  simple principle that can be the sole guiding principle behind all laws,  or even identify all the factors that need to be considered.</p>
<p><strong>Equality of Opportunity</strong></p>
<p>Now, it seems as if <em>equality of opportunity</em> is a natural  consequence of this concept of no predictable bias.  After all, if  there&#8217;s no  predictable set of people that is better off than another,  isn&#8217;t this the same as  saying that the law is equally unbiased towards  everybody?  It seems  any principle for framing laws should lead to laws  that give everyone  the same opportunities, even though various  random  events would likely lead to differences in final outcomes.</p>
<p>This is  where Hayek seems to make a contradictory statement.  Hayek  says that equality of opportunity is also a socialist ideal &#8212; not  a-priori, but in its implications:</p>
<blockquote><p>To achieve this government would have to control the  whole physical and human environment of all persons, and have to  endeavour to provide at least equivalent chances for each; and the more  government succeeded in these endeavours, the stronger would become the  legitimate demand that, on the same principle, any still remaining  handicaps must be removed-or compensated for by putting extra burden on  the still relatively favoured. This would have to go on until government  literally controlled every circumstance which could affect any person&#8217;s  well-being.</p></blockquote>
<p>This sounds correct &#8212; it is obviously impractical to demand that the  government provide perfect equality of opportunity to every single  individual.  But Hayek himself says that</p>
<blockquote><p>So far as [equality of opportunity] refers to such  facilities and opportunities as are of necessity affected by  governmental decisions (such as appointments to public office and the  like), the demand was indeed one of the central points of classical  liberalism, usually expressed by the French phrase &#8216;la carriere ouverte  aux talents&#8217;. There is also much to be said in favour of the government  providing on an equal basis the means for the schooling of minors who  are not yet fully responsible citizens&#8230;</p></blockquote>
<p>It seems that equality of opportunity is perhaps not inevitably  socialist or classical liberal, but rather a mixture of the two tempered  by the extent to which it is practical.  That is, government should  endeavour to provide equality of opportunity up to the point where it  has to start taking socialist actions like controlling people&#8217;s lives.   The line between providing equality of opportunity and socialism is  blurred &#8212; so blurred that it&#8217;s silly to pretend there&#8217;s a line (my  thoughts, not Hayek&#8217;s).</p>
<p><strong>Affirmative Action</strong></p>
<p>How does all this tie in  with affirmative action?  The principle that laws should not be  predictably biased would seem to indicate that affirmative action is  necessary.  The current system is extremely harmful for Dalits and  certain other backward classes.  Indeed, the state completely failed  them for several decades, a situation that is only now starting to be  rectified. Under current laws, and under any law that completely denies  all forms of affirmative action, Dalits will predictably be  disadvantaged and continue to be punished by the system for several  decades.</p>
<p>It is important to note that this reasoning does not apply to every  group that is disadvantaged.  If a Muslim and a Brahmin are equally  smart and study in the same class in the same school (I&#8217;m establishing  ceteris paribus here), I think the Brahmin has no advantage compared to  the Muslim.  They are equally likely, or almost equally likely, to find  good jobs.  In addition, opportunities available to Muslim and Brahmin  kids are the same <em>modulo their own beliefs</em>.  That is, if a  community of Muslims chose to reach out and accept the available  opportunities, they would be no worse off than a community of Brahmins.   The same is not true for Dalits.  There are active as well as passive  forces arrayed against the Dalits.</p>
<p>Thus, Hayek&#8217;s own notion of not predictably harming someone via  legislation seems to support the idea of affirmative action for Dalits.</p>
<p>The important question whether this can be classified as actively  harming non-Dalits.  I don&#8217;t believe so.  Increasing opportunity for  Dalits in this way certainly decreases opportunity for non-Dalits, but  opportunity was lop-sided to begin with, and the lop-sidedness continues  to be maintained using marginally legal methods.  With affirmative  action, entrance into various lucrative positions becomes tougher for  non-Dalits, but still not as tough as it is for Dalits.</p>
<p><strong>My Position on Affirmative Action</strong></p>
<p>For the record, my own position is a guarded support for certain  forms  of affirmative action in the short term.</p>
<p>I  think it&#8217;s important to base affirmative action not only on caste, but  on as many major sources of predictable variability as practical.  This  is the topic of the MIRAA score discussed <a href="http://inthearmchair.wordpress.com/2006/12/15/reservations-the-right-way-2/">in my other post</a>.</p>
<p>I  also believe affirmative action is nothing but a temporary pressure  valve measure to  quickly correct certain imbalances.  It is no  substitute for free, high  quality universal education.  Education, not  affirmative action, should  be the method of choice for ensuring  equality of opportunity.  Education is the only useful very-long-term  sustainable means for equality of opportunity.  The only reason for  affirmative action is that it seems impossible to equalize &#8220;predictable  opportunity&#8221; using education alone in the next 30 years.</p>
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		<title>Sonia Gandhi&#8217;s Feet</title>
		<link>http://inthearmchair.wordpress.com/2011/02/02/sonia-gandhis-feet/</link>
		<comments>http://inthearmchair.wordpress.com/2011/02/02/sonia-gandhis-feet/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 02 Feb 2011 16:59:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Armchair Guy</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[India]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[This makes for very interesting reading: http://www.hindustantimes.com/Angry-Congressman-sings-Telangana-tune/Article1-657742.aspx. There&#8217;s nothing interesting about the politician in question or the backtracking he&#8217;s doing; what&#8217;s interesting is just how scared this 82-year old veteran is.  Scared of repercussions after he criticized Sonia, he said he&#8217;d touch Sonia&#8217;s feet if she agreed to splitting Telengana.  The abjectness of his situation, [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=inthearmchair.wordpress.com&amp;blog=5564947&amp;post=1113&amp;subd=inthearmchair&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>This makes for very interesting reading: <a href="http://www.hindustantimes.com/Angry-Congressman-sings-Telangana-tune/Article1-657742.aspx">http://www.hindustantimes.com/Angry-Congressman-sings-Telangana-tune/Article1-657742.aspx</a>.</p>
<p>There&#8217;s nothing interesting about the politician in question or the backtracking he&#8217;s doing; what&#8217;s interesting is just how scared this 82-year old veteran is.  Scared of repercussions after he criticized Sonia, he said he&#8217;d touch Sonia&#8217;s feet if she agreed to splitting Telengana.  The abjectness of his situation, and the culture within the Congress, come through pretty clearly.  Numerous Congress leaders, including his own son, jumped to denounce his statements.</p>
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		<title>The ASER 2010 Report</title>
		<link>http://inthearmchair.wordpress.com/2011/01/15/the-aser-2010-report/</link>
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		<pubDate>Sat, 15 Jan 2011 15:27:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Armchair Guy</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[India]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[The NGO Pratham has been doing an annual survey of children&#8217;s education in India for several years now.  The ASER 2010 report makes for interesting reading; it has some good and some bad in it.  The heartening news is that enrollment of children of all ages has increased.  The disheartening news, apparently, is that the [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=inthearmchair.wordpress.com&amp;blog=5564947&amp;post=1099&amp;subd=inthearmchair&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The NGO Pratham has been doing an annual <a href="http://www.asercentre.org/">survey of children&#8217;s education in India</a> for several years now.  The ASER 2010 report makes for interesting reading; it has some good and some bad in it.  The heartening news is that enrollment of children of all ages has increased.  The disheartening news, apparently, is that the percentage of children passing various specific indicators has decreased, including the percentage of class 5 children able to read at the class 2 level.</p>
<p>What could the causes be?  There are two potential reasons that I can see.</p>
<ul>
<li>The first possibility is that the quality of teaching has declined &#8212; that is, the previously existing teachers have lowered their standards for some reason.</li>
<li>The other possibility is that the existing teachers have maintained their quality, but the new capacity required to handle the increased enrollment hasn&#8217;t materialized.</li>
</ul>
<p>In the first case, the children are worse off than they were a few years ago.  In the second, every child is better off than before, even though the indicator has decreased.</p>
<p>This latter case more likely applies to another measure in the ASER report:</p>
<blockquote><p>the proportion of Std I children who can recognize numbers (1-9) has declined from 69.3% in 2009 to 65.8% in 2010.</p></blockquote>
<p>This is perhaps attributable to the newer enrollees, some of whom might have been enrolled in class 1 directly without completing kindergarten.</p>
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		<title>The Plausible Deniability Defense</title>
		<link>http://inthearmchair.wordpress.com/2010/12/11/the-plausible-deniability-defense/</link>
		<comments>http://inthearmchair.wordpress.com/2010/12/11/the-plausible-deniability-defense/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 11 Dec 2010 16:27:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Armchair Guy</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[India]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[So the Congress is getting some heat for minority-inflaming politics immediately after 26/11, based on cables leaked by WikiLeaks (everything seems to be about wikileaks nowadays).  The Congress is in the crosshairs.  They&#8217;ve tried the deniability route, questioning two things: first, whether there really was such a wikileaks cable, and second, whether the ambassador truly [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=inthearmchair.wordpress.com&amp;blog=5564947&amp;post=1090&amp;subd=inthearmchair&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>So the Congress is <a href="http://www.thehindu.com/news/international/article946207.ece">getting some heat</a> for minority-inflaming politics immediately after 26/11, based on cables leaked by WikiLeaks (everything seems to be about wikileaks nowadays).  The Congress is in the crosshairs.  They&#8217;ve <a href="http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/Cong-doubts-veracity-of-WikiLeaks-cable-on-party/articleshow/7084019.cms">tried the deniability route</a>, questioning two things: first, whether there really was such a wikileaks cable, and second, whether the ambassador truly said what&#8217;s in the leaked cable.  The first one is very easy to answer: yes, it did.  And it said a lot more than what the press has the courage to report.  If you&#8217;re interested, just search for &#8220;wikileaks&#8221; on google. Then go to 2010/12/10 under &#8220;Browse Latest Releases&#8221; and click on Reference ID  08NEWDELHI3228.  The second issue, whether the cable is genuine, is of course much harder to ascertain.  But its contents are completely consistent with Congress strategy in the last decade or so.</p>
<p>I&#8217;m quite undecided on whether wikileaks is good or not.  I don&#8217;t think disclosing all information just because it&#8217;s there to be disclosed is good.  On the other hand, we occasionally get a neutral, unsanitized (because it&#8217;s not expected to be public) opinion on our country&#8217;s politics.</p>
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		<title>Corruption Cake</title>
		<link>http://inthearmchair.wordpress.com/2010/11/21/corruption-cake/</link>
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		<pubDate>Sun, 21 Nov 2010 13:05:57 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Armchair Guy</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[India]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[It&#8217;s been like a layer cake the last few months.  We&#8217;ve had one scandal after another and it shows no signs of slowing down.  You&#8217;ve probably read about most of the scandals, but the icing on the cake (at least until another scandal breaks, at which point it will become just another layer) may have [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=inthearmchair.wordpress.com&amp;blog=5564947&amp;post=1087&amp;subd=inthearmchair&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It&#8217;s been like a layer cake the last few months.  We&#8217;ve had one scandal after another and it shows no signs of slowing down.  You&#8217;ve probably read about most of the scandals, but the icing on the cake (at least until another scandal breaks, at which point it will become just another layer) may have escaped your notice.  That&#8217;s because this latest scandal involves the media themselves, and they&#8217;re doing everything they can to cover it up.  Barkha Dutt, Vir Shanghvi, Rajdeep Sardesai and a bunch of other media bigwigs were found to be doing some power-broking between the Congress and its vassal parties.  The story was leaked by outlook magazine <a href="http://www.outlookindia.com/article.aspx?268068">here</a>.</p>
<p>I don&#8217;t know why anyone should be surprised.  It&#8217;s like being surprised that a baboo in an official position in government is taking bribes.  Everybody does it, and everybody knowns that everybody does it, even if no evidence has actually emerged.  I&#8217;d guess there are two paths you take to get exclusive interviews with prominent people.</p>
<p>The first path is to dedicate your life to quality journalism until your reputation is so well-established that people want to talk to you.  I think Dan Rather fell into this category &#8212; his demise came about because he hadn&#8217;t checked the quality of his sources.  His integrity was never in doubt.  But this path takes a long time.</p>
<p>The second path is where you do people favours in return for interviews and inside scoops.  I&#8217;m sure the majority of Indian journos don&#8217;t do this, but I&#8217;m equally sure a lot of them do.  So when this big expose on Barkha and co. came around, I was surprised &#8212; not that they were doing it, but that something like this saw the light of day.</p>
<p>But it&#8217;s still not easy to find.  The tapes themselves are available online for all to listen to, but the story isn&#8217;t getting much prominence.  I hate to agree with anything Arundhati Roy says, but one thing she did get right:</p>
<blockquote><p>Much of the mainstream media has been captured by  a  small clique of columnists, editors and TV anchors, an incestuous   little coterie with shows on each others’ channels and interviews in   each others’ newspapers.</p></blockquote>
<p>The responses Barkha and her higher-ups have provided are pretty standard: they liberally tossed in phrases like &#8220;smear campaign&#8221;, &#8220;misrepresentation&#8221; and &#8220;caricature&#8221; into boilerplate denials.</p>
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		<title>Superbugs and Medical Tourism</title>
		<link>http://inthearmchair.wordpress.com/2010/11/19/superbugs-and-medical-tourism/</link>
		<comments>http://inthearmchair.wordpress.com/2010/11/19/superbugs-and-medical-tourism/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 19 Nov 2010 23:29:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Armchair Guy</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[India]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[A superbug is apparently spreading through Europe.  When a superbug from India was discovered, the Lancet reported it, but gratuitously hinted that people should not go to India for medical care.  Perhaps the Lancet should now gratuitously hint that people should stop going to Europe for medical care as well&#8230; Filed under: India<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=inthearmchair.wordpress.com&amp;blog=5564947&amp;post=1084&amp;subd=inthearmchair&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A superbug is apparently <a href="http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/Europe-in-grip-of-new-superbug-not-Indian/articleshow/6942828.cms">spreading through Europe</a>.  When a superbug from India was discovered, the Lancet reported it, but gratuitously hinted that people should not go to India for medical care.  Perhaps the Lancet should now gratuitously hint that people should stop going to Europe for medical care as well&#8230; <img src='http://s1.wp.com/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_wink.gif' alt=';-)' class='wp-smiley' /> </p>
<br />Filed under: <a href='http://inthearmchair.wordpress.com/category/india/'>India</a>  <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gocomments/inthearmchair.wordpress.com/1084/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/comments/inthearmchair.wordpress.com/1084/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/godelicious/inthearmchair.wordpress.com/1084/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/delicious/inthearmchair.wordpress.com/1084/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gofacebook/inthearmchair.wordpress.com/1084/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/facebook/inthearmchair.wordpress.com/1084/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gotwitter/inthearmchair.wordpress.com/1084/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/twitter/inthearmchair.wordpress.com/1084/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gostumble/inthearmchair.wordpress.com/1084/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/stumble/inthearmchair.wordpress.com/1084/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/godigg/inthearmchair.wordpress.com/1084/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/digg/inthearmchair.wordpress.com/1084/" /></a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/goreddit/inthearmchair.wordpress.com/1084/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/reddit/inthearmchair.wordpress.com/1084/" /></a> <img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=inthearmchair.wordpress.com&amp;blog=5564947&amp;post=1084&amp;subd=inthearmchair&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>LaTeX Forward PDF Search with Emacs</title>
		<link>http://inthearmchair.wordpress.com/2010/11/15/latex-forward-pdf-search-with-emacs/</link>
		<comments>http://inthearmchair.wordpress.com/2010/11/15/latex-forward-pdf-search-with-emacs/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 15 Nov 2010 13:03:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Armchair Guy</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Computers]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://inthearmchair.wordpress.com/?p=1073</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I wrote a blog post on implementing inverse PDF search with okular and emacs here.  This post is about the reverse: forward search.  That is, with point at any position in the LaTeX source while editing in emacs, a keystroke causes okular to center the corresponding portion of the PDF in its viewable area. A [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=inthearmchair.wordpress.com&amp;blog=5564947&amp;post=1073&amp;subd=inthearmchair&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I wrote a blog post on implementing inverse PDF search with okular and emacs <a href="http://inthearmchair.wordpress.com/2010/09/02/latex-inverse-pdf-search-with-emacs/">here</a>.  This post is about the reverse: forward search.  That is, with point at any position in the LaTeX source while editing in emacs, a keystroke causes okular to center the corresponding portion of the PDF in its viewable area.  A nice overview of LaTeX synchronization can be found <a href="http://www.mail-archive.com/okular-devel@kde.org/msg05305.html">here</a>.</p>
<p>In the comments on the inverse search post, B. Slade suggested the procedure at <a href="http://www.bleedingmind.com/index.php/2010/06/17/synctex-on-linux-and-mac-os-x-with-emacs/">http://www.bleedingmind.com/index.php/2010/06/17/synctex-on-linux-and-mac-os-x-with-emacs</a> for forward search.  However, the instructions there require installation of AuCTeX version 11.86, while the latest version in the Ubuntu 10.04 repositories have is 11.85.</p>
<p>I managed to kludge a solution for the AuCTeX shipping with Ubuntu 10.04 by slightly modifying some emacs code I found here: <a href="http://www.mail-archive.com/okular-devel@kde.org/msg04913.html">http://www.mail-archive.com/okular-devel@kde.org/msg04913.html</a>. Most of the work was already done by Mark Altern and earlier authors; the only change was to tell it to use the .pdf instead of the .dvi.</p>
<p>A note of caution.  Forward search with okular is not very convenient.  This is because okular redisplays the PDF document every time you do a forward search &#8212; with a side &#8220;contents&#8221; pane and also repositioning the PDF.  So if you&#8217;ve removed the space-hogging contents pane (by pressing F7 twice) and zoomed and positioned the PDF to your liking, doing a forward search will undo all of that.  You&#8217;ll have to remove the contents pane again and re-zoom and re-position.  This severely limits the usefulness of forward search.  There doesn&#8217;t seem to be a way around this for now.</p>
<p>Anyway, here are the steps.</p>
<ol>
<li>Follow instructions <a href="http://inthearmchair.wordpress.com/2010/09/02/latex-inverse-pdf-search-with-emacs/">here</a> to set up inverse search.</li>
<li>Source for okular-search.el is at the end of this post.  Copy it and put it in a file called okular-search.el.</li>
<li>In your .emacs file, add the following code:
<pre><code>
(add-to-list 'load-path "/path/to/okular-search.el")
(require 'okular-search)
(add-hook 'LaTeX-mode-hook (lambda () (local-set-key "\C-x\C-j" 'okular-jump-to-line)))
(add-hook 'tex-mode-hook (lambda () (local-set-key "\C-x\C-j" 'okular-jump-to-line)))
</code></pre>
</li>
</ol>
<p>That&#8217;s it.  Press C-x C-j to open a new okular viewing window.  Subsequent presses of C-x C-j will reposition the PDF in that okular window to correspond to whatever&#8217;s at point in emacs.</p>
<p>Here&#8217;s the code for okular-search.el:</p>
<pre><code>
;;; (X)Emacs frontend to forward search with kdvi. See the section on
;;; FORWARD SEARCH in the kdvi manual for more information on forward
;;; search, and for an explanation how to use this script. This script
;;; is a modified version of the script "xdvi-search.el" by Stefan
;;; Ulrich, version 2000/03/13. The
;;; modifications were performed by Stefan Kebekus
;;; . Tested with Emacs 20.7.1 and Xemacs 21.4.
;;;
;;; This program is free software; you can redistribute it and/or
;;; modify it under the terms of the GNU General Public License as
;;; published by the Free Software Foundation; either version 2 of the
;;; License, or (at your option) any later version.
;;;
;;; This program is distributed in the hope that it will be useful,
;;; but WITHOUT ANY WARRANTY; without even the implied warranty of
;;; MERCHANTABILITY or FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE. See the GNU
;;; General Public License for more details.
;;;
;;; You should have received a copy of the GNU General Public License
;;; along with this program; if not, write to the Free Software
;;; Foundation, Inc., 51 Franklin Street, Fifth Floor, Boston, MA
;;; 02110-1301, USA.
;;;
;;; Please report bugs or improvements, etc. via the "Report bug"-Menu
;;; of okular.
;;;

(defvar okular-script "okular"
  "*Name of start script for okular.")

(defun okular-jump-to-line ()
  "Call okular-script to perform a `forward search' for current file and line number.
See contents of okular-script for details.
If AucTeX is used, the value of TeX-master-file is used as filename
for the master .dvi file; else, the return value of okular-master-file-name
is used (which see)."
  (interactive)
  (save-excursion
    (save-restriction
      (widen)
      (beginning-of-line 1)
      (let* (;;; current line in file, as found in the documentation
	     ;;; of emacs. Slightly non-intuitive.
	     (current-line (format "%d" (+ 1 (count-lines (point-min) (point)))))
	     ;;; name of the `main' .tex file, which is also used as .dvi basename:
	     (master-file (expand-file-name (if (fboundp 'TeX-master-file)
					     (TeX-master-file t)
					   (okular-get-masterfile (okular-master-file-name)))))
	     ;;; .dvi file name:
	     (pdf-file (concat (file-name-sans-extension master-file) ".pdf"))
	     ;;; current source file name.
	     (filename (expand-file-name (buffer-file-name))))
	(start-process "okular"
		       "okular-output" "okular" ;;; src-args
		      ;;; args for -sourceposition:
		       "--unique" (concat "file:" pdf-file "#src:" current-line filename)
		       )))))

(defun okular-get-masterfile (file)
  "Small helper function for AucTeX compatibility.
Converts the special value t that TeX-master might be set to
into a real file name."
  (if (eq file t)
      (buffer-file-name)
    file))

(defun okular-master-file-name ()
  "Emulate AucTeX's TeX-master-file function.
Partly copied from tex.el's TeX-master-file and TeX-add-local-master."
  (if (boundp 'TeX-master)
      TeX-master
    (let ((master-file (read-file-name "Master file (default this file): ")))
      (if (y-or-n-p "Save info as local variable? ")
	  (progn
	    (goto-char (point-max))
	    (if (re-search-backward "^\\([^\n]+\\)Local Variables:" nil t)
		(let* ((prefix (if (match-beginning 1)
				   (buffer-substring (match-beginning 1) (match-end 1))
				 ""))
		      (start (point)))
		  (re-search-forward (regexp-quote (concat prefix "End:")) nil t)
		  (if (re-search-backward (regexp-quote (concat prefix "TeX-master")) start t)
		      ;;; if TeX-master line exists already, replace it
		      (progn
			(beginning-of-line 1)
			(kill-line 1))
		    (beginning-of-line 1))
		  (insert prefix "TeX-master: " (prin1-to-string master-file) "\n"))
	      (insert "\n%%% Local Variables: "
;;; mode is of little use without AucTeX ...
;;;		      "\n%%% mode: " (substring (symbol-name major-mode) 0 -5)
		      "\n%%% TeX-master: " (prin1-to-string master-file)
		      "\n%%% End: \n"))
	    (save-buffer)
	    (message "(local variables written.)"))
	(message "(nothing written.)"))
      (set (make-local-variable 'TeX-master) master-file))))

(provide 'okular-search)
</code></pre>
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